Iowa State vs Houston Predictions, Odds & Player Props (Feb 19)

Iowa State Cyclones defender Tamin Lipsey (3) takes a three-point changeable complete Houston Cougars defender L.J. Cryer (4) during nan 2nd half successful nan Big-12 convention showdown of an NCAA assemblage hoops astatine Hilton Coliseum connected Tuesday, Jan. 9, 2024, successful Ames, Iowa.

• The #10 Iowa State Cyclones and #3 Houston Cougars quadrate disconnected pinch apical spot successful nan Big 12 connected nan statement connected Monday night
•  Iowa State hit Houston astatine location successful early January, but nan Cougars are large favorites to moreover nan play bid successful nan rematch
• See nan Iowa State vs Houston odds, predictions, and subordinate props for Feb. 19 astatine nan Fertitta Center

A monolithic crippled successful nan conflict for nan Big 12 regular-season title takes spot connected Monday nighttime arsenic nan #10 Iowa State Cyclones (20-5, 4-3 away, 18-7 ATS) sojourn nan #3 Houston Cougars (22-3, 14-0 home, 12-12-1 ATS).

Iowa State and Houston are presently tied atop nan Big 12 standings astatine 9-3, 1 crippled up connected 8-4 Baylor.  With conscionable six games remaining (three location and 3 distant for each), nan victor of Monday’s title will return a immense measurement towards earning astatine slightest a stock of nan regular-season convention championship.

Oddsmakers springiness Houston a large separator astatine home, mounting nan Cougars are 9.5-point location favorites.

Iowa State vs Houston Odds

Monday’s college hoops odds besides database Houston arsenic -480 connected nan moneyline, giving nan Cougars an 82.76% implied triumph probability. Iowa State comes backmost astatine +360 while nan crippled full is astatine a comparatively debased 127.5.

Odds arsenic of Feb. 19 connected nan FanDuel app. New users tin declare a stake $5, get $150 FanDuel promo code up of Monday’s NCAA hoops action. 

Iowa State One of nan Best ATS Teams This Season

Not only is Iowa State a sublime 20-5 straight-up connected nan season, nan Cyclones are besides 18-7 against nan spread. Only 5 of nan 362 DI teams successful nan state person covered astatine a amended rate. Almost each of Iowa State’s losses person been close. The Cyclones person only mislaid 1 crippled by double-digits each play (75-62 astatine BYU).

Iowa State enters Monday connected a four-game triumph streak, including distant wins complete Texas (70-65) and Cincinnati (68-59) and location wins against TCU (71-59) and Texas Tech (82-74). TJ Otzelberger’s squad covered each 4 games against nan spread, which is each nan much awesome erstwhile you see that each 4 teams are rated 36th aliases amended astatine KenPom.

Iowa State has balanced discourtesy pinch 4 players averaging betwixt 10.1 and 14.2 PPG, led by guards Keshon Gilbert and Tamin Lipsey. The existent spot of nan squad is connected nan protect end, wherever they complaint 3rd successful nan state successful protect ratio and make turnovers astatine nan highest complaint successful nan DI (26.1% of force possessions).

Turnovers were nan quality successful Iowa State’s 57-53 triumph complete Houston past month. The Cyclones generated 16 Cougar turnovers and turned them into 17 points. Houston scored conscionable six points disconnected 12 Iowa State turnovers and coiled up connected nan losing extremity contempt a 32-25 rebounding edge.

Houston Still Perfect astatine Home

Houston is simply a cleanable 14-0 astatine location straight-up this season, on pinch an fantabulous 9-4 grounds against nan dispersed astatine home. No squad has stayed wrong 15 points of nan Cougars astatine nan Fertitta Center each season. That said, nan Cougars were pushed to nan limit erstwhile they faced Texas A&M astatine nan Toyota Center successful Houston connected Dec. 16, escaping pinch a 70-66 contempt taking a 15-point lead into halftime.

Last clip out, Houston crushed Texas 82-61 astatine home, getting a game-high 26 points from starring scorer LJ Cryer on pinch a phenomenal 16-point, 11-rebound, six-assist capacity from elder defender Jamal Shead. As they often do, nan Cougars won nan conflict connected nan committee decisively, out-rebounding nan Longhorns 45-34.

Houston is simply a uncommon operation of an fantabulous offensive-rebounding squad (fourth successful nan federation astatine 39.2%) while still dominating defensively. The Cougars person nan very champion protect ratio standing successful nan country, and it’s not close. Their 86.2 standing is 4.6 amended than immoderate different team. It besides would person been nan apical people successful nan state successful 2 of nan past 3 seasons.

Iowa State vs Houston Player Props

College hoops subordinate props from DraftKings.

The subordinate props for Iowa State vs Houston are each rather modest, which makes consciousness is simply a conflict betwixt 2 of nan champion protect teams successful nan nation. Shead (14.5) has nan highest constituent total, followed by teammate Cryer (13.5). Now Iowa State subordinate has an over/under higher than 11.5.

Iowa State vs Houston Prediction

The first gathering betwixt these teams was a protect slugfest successful Ames. Neither squad managed to sprout amended than 38.3% from nan level and neither cracked 60 points. It’s tempting to return nan Cyclones and nan boatload of points they’re getting, but Houston’s way grounds of power astatine location is excessively overmuch to stake into.

Instead, I americium going to stake nan first-half under, which has been group astatine 60.5 points astatine FanDuel. January’s crippled astatine Hilton Coliseum witnessed conscionable 52 first-half points, and I expect nan different slow-paced, defensively-intense first 20 minutes connected Monday night.

ISU vs HOU pick: first-half nether 60.5 points (-110)

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NCAAM betting record:

• ATS: 13-13 (-1.21 units)
• Moneyline: 1-5 (-4.78 units)
• Player props: 2-2 (+0.78 units)

All wagers 1 portion unless expressly stated otherwise.

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Sascha was a lucky subordinate successful his youth, a lawyer successful his capricious mid-20s, and has been pinch SBD since 2014. He specializes successful football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.