San Diego State vs UConn Expert Picks and Predictions (March 28)

Apr 3, 2023; Houston, TX, USA; Connecticut Huskies halfway Donovan Clingan (32) blocks nan changeable of San Diego State Aztecs guardant Jaedon LeDee (13) during nan 2nd half successful nan nationalist title crippled of nan 2023 NCAA Tournament astatine NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

• #5 San Diego State meets nan #1 wide seed UConn successful nan Sweet 16
• This is simply a rematch of past year’s National Championship game
• See beneath for San Diego State vs UConn picks and predictions connected Thursday

San Diego State is looking for revenge successful nan Sweet 16, arsenic they get different changeable astatine nan UConn squad that hit nan Aztecs successful nan National Championship past year. San Diego State amazed galore past twelvemonth and hit FAU connected a buzzer beater successful nan Final Four to return connected UConn. The Huskies won 76-59 arsenic 7.5-point favorites. Many players connected San Diego State are connected their roster again this season.

The victor of this Sweet 16 matchup will get backmost to Elite Eight for a 2nd consecutive season. They will look nan victor of #3 Illinois and #2 Iowa State for a chance to correspond nan East Region of nan March Madness bracket successful nan Final Four.

San Diego State vs UConn Odds

Thursday’s college hoops likelihood list UConn arsenic a dense favourite to beforehand to nan Elite Eight. The Huskies are -630 connected nan moneyline, which gives them an implied triumph probability of 86.3%. UConn is -11 against nan Aztecs, and nan full successful this 1 is group astatine 136.

Heading into nan Sweet 16. UConn remains nan favourite successful nan Final Four odds. The Huskies are presently -230 to triumph their adjacent to games and to get to nan Final Four successful Glendale. UConn is besides nan +220 favourite successful nan NCAA Tournament Championship odds. San Diego State is presently +1600 to scope nan Final Four and +800 to triumph March Madness.

Odds arsenic of March 27 astatine Fanatics. Claim nan Fanatics Sportsbook promo code to stake connected San Diego State vs UConn.

San Diego State Representing nan Mountain West Yet Again

Six Mountain West teams received a bid to nan NCAA Tournament, and only 1 remains heading into nan 2nd play of March Madness: San Diego State. In fact, only Utah State sewage a triumph successful nan first round. Every different Mountain West squad mislaid successful nan Round of 64. This is thing caller for nan Aztecs, arsenic past year, 4 teams from nan convention made nan tournament, and nary squad too San Diego State made it past nan first round.

The Aztecs won a adjacent crippled against #12 UAB successful nan Round of 64, past cruised to a 85-57 triumph complete Yale successful nan 2nd round. This year’s San Diego State squad is very akin to past year’s because of players for illustration Jaedon LeDee, Lamont Butler, and Darrion Trammell who returned this year. While they whitethorn person underperformed successful nan regular season, they still did capable successful this play to gain a #5 seed and make it backmost to nan Sweet 16.

Their discourtesy leaves overmuch to beryllium desired, but they triumph pinch defense and rebounding. San Diego State is eighth successful nan state successful adjusted protect efficiency, marking nan 3rd consecutive twelvemonth that nan Aztecs person a apical 10 squad successful that category. They want to slow nan crippled down and get good, high-quality shots. When those shots are going in, nan Aztecs go difficult to beat. LeDee leads nan squad successful scoring by acold pinch complete 21 points per game.

San Diego State went conscionable 14-20 against nan dispersed this twelvemonth and was 2-5 ATS arsenic an underdog.

UConn’s Domination Continues

Since past year’s tournament, UConn has won each crippled and they person covered each spread. Head Coach Dan Hurley is now 9-3 against nan dispersed successful nan NCAA Tournament successful his career, and UConn is 24-6 against nan dispersed successful their past 30 tourney games. The Huskies look wished to go nan first squad to spell backmost to backmost since Florida did it successful 2006 and 2007.

UConn took down #16 Stetson 91-52, past hit Northwestern successful nan Round of 32 75-58, contempt not shooting well. The Huskies made conscionable 3 three pointers against Northwestern but still recovered a measurement to triumph and screen arsenic double-digit favorites. UConn is beardown connected discourtesy and defense. They tin people quickly and successful aggregate ways, and they are classed ninth successful adjusted protect efficiency.

While nan Huskies person aggregate players that tin return over, they are led by nan defender duo Tristen Newton and Cam Spener, who mean 15.3 and 14.4 points per crippled respectively. But you cannot hide astir Donovan Clingan, who makes his beingness felt connected some sides of nan shot and averages complete 2 blocks a game. Even though UConn mislaid players from past year’s National Championship team, they returned plentifulness of talent and everyone took a measurement successful nan correct direction.

The Huskies are an awesome 24-12 against nan dispersed this season.

San Diego State vs UConn Prediction

While San Diego State is looking for revenge, I do not spot really they tin support up pinch UConn. The Huskies conscionable changeable nan shot poorly successful their past game, and they still won by seventeen. Coach Hurley is an master motivator and will person his guys fresh to spell retired location and play amended than they did against Northwestern.

San Diego’s defense will make immoderate plays, but it is difficult to ideate nan Aztecs being capable to people capable points to enactment successful this game. Since past season, UConn has won each March Madness crippled by double digits and that will proceed against San Diego State.

Pick: UConn -11 (-110)

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It's a uncommon occurrence erstwhile Zach is not talking astir sports. He runs nan societal media accounts astatine SBD and specializes successful betting connected nan NFL, CFB, CBB, and MLB. Zach graduated pinch a Master's successful Sports Journalism from St. Bonaventure University.